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With the worst-rated offensive line in football, the Giants can’t be trusted to compete against non-division foes. A quick tab on stats worth paying attention to: These numbers will break down the efficiency and effectiveness of an offense (or defense, if you’re going with allowed) and remove the “garbage time” numbers plenty of players can pile on. Tight end Robert Tonyan has emerged as another key weapon. Dan Quinn is finally relieved of his duties as Falcons head coach and GM Thomas Dimitroff was also canned after Atlanta’s feeble home loss to Carolina. How can the Texans maximize Deshaun Watson? There are tons of results and trends to sort through after another wild week, and in an effort to keep you updated throughout the 2020-21 season, TheLines is providing weekly updates to our NFL Power Rankings. Look for size advantages in receivers and defensive backs; players like Julio Jones can make life difficult for a 5’ 8” corner and the Falcons might gameplan to exploit that advantage. That should be an easy bet, since our projected point total is -2 and we would take the Chargers to cover. Everyone sees Power Rankings just about everywhere you look– SportsCenter, the Herd, just about every website– and those are useful in their own right. For example, the Houston Texans averaged 23.6 points per game against the 13th-toughest schedule in the NFL in 2019. From there, adjust the numbers– 16 through -16, with zero being the middle– based on projected point totals, defensive ranks, and personnel. The Odd Couple with Chris Broussard & Rob Parker, The Odd Couple w/ Chris Broussard & Rob Parker, Straight Outta Vegas with RJ Bell & Jonas Knox, Advertise on FOX Sports Radio, Get Results, Advertise with FOX Sports Radio, Get Results. At first, it might seem that you’ll be running advanced metrics and spitting out numbers and point spreads. Where do the Titans' Jeffery Simmons and the Raiders' Clelin Ferrell sit on the list? 21+: and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The same goes for good players who play a poor Week 1 (ex. Contrary to the belief that stats never lie, stats can actually be the best liars when used incorrectly. Your final spread for this game comes out to Colts -2 (-110) @ Chargers. Chase Claypool adds another dynamic threat to the Steelers offense and if Diontae Johnson (toe/back) can get healthy during the second half of the season, Big Ben can shoot it out with any of the elite AFC teams. 10. The Giants went into Dallas as 10-point dogs and nearly pulled off the upset, proving once again that NFC East games can be wildly unpredictable. It's hard to say, but the roster is strong. Sean McVay has rebuilt his offense with a smash-mouth approach and Aaron Donald leads a defense that has a league-high 20 sacks. They have a decided advantage over any opponent, including the Ravens, in a playoff setting. to fine-tune your spread. Once you have your numbers, compare two teams (numbers in parentheses are hypothetical power ratings): Indianapolis (12) @ Los Angeles Chargers (-8). © 2020 NFL Enterprises LLC. 10 things to know about the top 10 teams in the 2019 NFL Draft Jan 01, 2019 at 10:00 AM. There are few better slot receivers than Julian Edelman, while the backfield features Sony Michel, who is coming off a strong rookie season, and James White, an elite pass-catching back. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Mark Ingram is in Baltimore, but signee Latavius Murray should serve as an effective complement to Kamara. Saquon Barkley). That also speaks well of the job done by coach Frank Reich and his staff. If you’ve really got a handle on the NFL game, a popular focus recently has been on coaches’ understanding of analytics and their willingness to utilize probability factors in their gameplan. Will Cam Newton get a major raise in 2021? Whose MVP campaign was better? Yet early in the season, it’s possible to go against the betting public by sticking to your own process. NBC’s Warren Sharp is a great resource for finding advanced metrics that make significant differences in outcomes. Top 10 Teams in the NFL Heading Into Week 6 according to Colin Cowherd. Noah Fant (ankle) and KJ Hamler (hamstring) were doubtful for MNF against the Patriots, but have a chance to play now that the game is postponed to Sunday. Gil Brandt ranks all eight divisions. Give Russell Wilson a chance, and he will make you pay. Hilton even more effective. Whether it was Dalvin Cook, Alex Mattison, or Mike Boone carrying the ball, the Vikings steamrolled a Seahawks defense that came into Sunday night’s matchup ranked fifth in DVOA, yet they couldn’t close the deal with a conversion on fourth-and-inches. This tactic is known as fading the public and has a long track record of success. I love what he’s doing. They had their bye this past week. NFL footage © NFL Productions LLC. There is no question that Bill Belichick and his staff do an excellent job making players look better than they are, covering up flaws and not putting them in position to fail. New defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo was given pieces to work with that will fit his 4-3 system, including pass rusher Frank Clark, defensive end Alex Okafor, cornerback Bashaud Breeland and safeties Tyrann Mathieu and rookie Juan Thornhill. Gil Brandt ranks nine defensive linemen ready for Year 2 breakouts in 2020. Say the opening line comes out to Colts -4.5 (-110) @ Chargers. Strength of schedules are also broken down positionally and should be taken into consideration, as well. Since losing to the Ravens in Week 1, the Browns have averaged 37.5 PPG and 201 rushing YPG while winning four straight. If interested, look up formulas on expected point differentials to create a more pinpoint rating for each team. Taking the Watkins example, bettors who take the under now have 20 more yards of breathing room and a higher probability of success. He’s simply being asked to do too much since Eagles DC Jim Schwartz is getting burned by opposing offensive coordinators. Bet with your head, not over it. Will the Falcons shake two epic collapses? Baltimore’s elite defense has collected 8 turnovers while yielding just 9 TDs this season. Don't let the drama at kicker distract you. That said, New England's success can't be attributed only to game-planning. Gil Brandt spells out paths to competitiveness for Atlanta and Houston. Using this information, we can determine that the Texans are likely to see a negative regression in points per game. The Panthers defense has been surprisingly solid despite losing Luke Kuechly and James Bradberry this offseason. The question of whether receiver Tyreek Hill will face discipline from the NFL stemming from a child-abuse investigation is still unanswered (though a criminal investigation is no longer active). Even setting Hill aside for the moment, however, Mahomes' supporting cast includes tight end Travis Kelce (who has made four straight Pro Bowls) and receivers Sammy Watkins (a former first-round pick) and Mecole Hardman (a promising rookie). Gil Brandt ranks all seven winless teams. Bettors tend to overreact to recent results and are very reactionary in an “update league” like the NFL. Strength of schedule is useful when looking at futures bet. Either Pace has learned well, or new coach Matt Nagy has the players playing the way Pace visualized. Dominating the Jets is a nice confidence boost for this young team as they prepare for a seven-game stretch of games against quality opponents. Follow Gil Brandt on Twitter @Gil_Brandt. Gil Brandt ranks the five most and least enviable quarterback situations across the NFL in 2020. Arguably no team in the NFL has better long-term personnel vision than the Rams. Before the vagaries of live football crash into the pristine dreams that spring forth every summer, I wanted to take a look at which teams loom largest heading into the season from a pure talent standpoint. Drew Brees has struggled without Michael Thomas (ankle/discipline) and the Saints were very fortunate to come back from a 20-3 deficit to down the Chargers in OT. The Dolphins defense might be turning a corner as well. For those looking to rank teams 1-32 based on last season, the games ongoing this season, and a looking quickly at the depth chart, you can do just that. They still have a quality backup in Andy Dalton and a slew of dangerous receivers, but also lost All-Pro tackle Tyron Smith (neck) for the season and their defensive secondary remains in shambles. Teams playing at altitude (Denver) may also have an advantage over teams that don’t frequently play at altitude (Miami). The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Assign a number to each team, starting at the top with 16 and running down to the bottom where the last ranked team receives -16. If you stick with the raw data, i.e. Ratings quantify the numerical advantage one team has over another based on past scores and season performance. The Browns are receiving a lot of offseason hype -- but there is a legitimate reason for it. The Raiders finally got over the hump against the mighty Chiefs and now head into their bye at 3-2 despite playing one of the toughest schedules in the NFL. The Eagles are also at the point where the NFL draft can be used to build for the future rather than being relied upon as a source of players who can provide an immediate impact. Jimmy Garoppolo (ankle) is hobbled and lacking confidence, while CJ Beathard and Nick Mullens have been unable to provide consistency under center. Beyond that, general manager Tom Telesco is gambling that linebacker Denzel Perryman can stay healthy and that veteran Thomas Davis still has something in the tank at age 36. Add in a 2.5-point advantage for the home team (Los Angeles) for an adjusted point spread of 1.5 in favor of the Colts. If the Chiefs and Ravens are the consensus top two teams in the NFL, then KC needs to remain one spot above Baltimore despite dropping their first decision since Week 10 of the 2019-20 season. NFL Top 10 is a documentary program produced by NFL Films for airing on the NFL Network.The host and narrator is Derrin Horton.. Using trades rather than free agency to address these needs also allowed L.A. to collect extra compensatory picks this year. That core includes several who are considered among the best at their respective positions, like quarterback Carson Wentz (signed through 2024), defensive tackle Fletcher Cox (2022), tight end Zach Ertz (2021) and center Jason Kelce (2021). Having Bosa healthy after he missed much of 2018 will give L.A. a huge boost. After 15 days off, the Titans seemed to fix most of their issues in run defense and baited Josh Allen into key interceptions to win a battle between unbeaten squads. If they don’t win at the Chargers in Week 11 (game moved from Week 6), the Jets are realistically at risk of going 0-16 given the strength of the AFC East this year. The concept is simple, just a 1-32 list of the best team to the worst team. Breaking News, Entertainment & Interviews #FSR. The APFA started off with 10 teams, which had already existed in some form as regional teams. The trade that netted star receiver Odell Beckham Jr. and pass rusher Olivier Vernon was just one headline-grabbing highlight of a broader team-building project that included drafting youngsters like Baker Mayfield, Myles Garrett, Denzel Ward and Nick Chubb and acquiring veterans like Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall, Kareem Hunt and Sheldon Richardson. The same can be said for tight end Hunter Henry, who is back after being sidelined by a torn ACL last season. Perhaps the Rams futility last year was the fluke, not their impressive run to the Super Bowl the year prior. In reality, handicapping is a fancy bettor’s term for preparing and researching. (An interesting note illustrating Tom Brady's incredible longevity: When the Patriots play the Steelers in Week 1, Brady will face rookie linebacker Devin Bush Jr. -- 18 years after Brady faced Bush's father, Devin Bush Sr., when the elder Bush played for the Cleveland Browns.).

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